Will China’s trade charm clip Nifty’s wings as FIIs may rethink India bet amid US truce?
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Just when the bulls were getting comfortable on Dalal Street, the dragon may be gearing up to breathe some fire. With nearly $2 billion of foreign institutional inflows flooding Indian equities since April, a fresh US-China tariff truce could flip the script. The specter of global peace in trade—once a balm for battered investors—might now drive them away from the safety of Indian shores and back into the arms of a newly seductive China. “The China-US deal may reduce the relative attractiveness of India,” analysts at CLSA warned, calling out the elephant in the room. “It may dial back fears of a global trade war. A rise in these fears made India a hiding place and the second-best performing market since March.” While the news flows might point to a temporary reshuffling of capital, not everyone is buying the China comeback story. Dr. Vikas Gupta, CEO of OmniScience Capital and Smallcase manager, offers a sharp counter. “The Chinese market...