Budget 2025: Will ITC shares Budget day winning streak survive tax hike uncertainty?
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India’s Union Budget has historically been a favourable occasion for ITC shares, with the cigarettes-to-hotels conglomerate's stock closing higher on nine of the last ten Budget days, averaging a 1.86% gain since 2017. However, traders remain cautious this year, given speculation that Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman may raise excise duties on cigarettes for the first time in three years. India had two Budgets in both 2019 and 2024 due to general elections, with interim Budgets in February followed by full-fledged Budgets later in the year. The ITC stock surged 4.51% on Budget day in 2017, followed by gains of 1.51% in 2018, 0.74% in February 2019, and 0.63% in July 2019, when the newly elected government presented its full-year Budget. The only exception to this trend came in 2020, when the stock plunged 6.97% after an unexpected increase in National Calamity Contingent Duty (NCCD) on cigarettes. However, the stock rebounded in su...