Trading Day: Markets soar as Powell brings back 'transitory'
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Wall Street rallied sharply and Treasury yields fell on Wednesday as investors bet that the Federal Reserve will look through rising price pressures and continue cutting interest rates this year, after new projections showed that officials now expect lower growth and higher inflation. While the median projection of two more rate cuts this year is still policymakers' base case, the underlying 'dot plot' forecasts shifted up closer towards only one. But not quite. Investors ignored that, however. They also ignored the growing "stagflation" risks and officials' admission that uncertainty is elevated. Instead, they seized on Chair Jerome Powell's belief that tariff-driven inflation will be "transitory" and largely confined to this year. I will dig deeper into the confusing signals sent by various measures of inflation expectations below. But first, here are the scores on the doors from Wednesday's...