Posts

Showing posts with the label neddavisresearch

Wall St Week Ahead-Inflation, Fed meeting to give clues for US market direction

Image
[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Investors will closely watch next week's inflation numbers and Federal Reserve meeting for clues on whether the soft landing hopes that drove stocks to record highs are still justified. This year's rally has lifted the S&P 500 up more than 12% year-to-date, on expectations the Fed can cool inflation without hurting growth. Yet recent economic data have sent conflicting signals: U.S. employment numbers released Friday were far stronger than expected, while earlier reports showed a slowdown in manufacturing and a first-quarter growth rate revised lower. May inflation data, due next Wednesday, must walk a tightrope to satisfy expectations of a "Goldilocks economy": satisfactory growth with prices under control. Later that day, investors will look to the Fed for signals on the central bank's rate cut plans. "The market would like some clarity and not see the Fed have to wait until December or January to begin c...

Wall St Week Ahead-Inflation data, presidential debate could sink summer rally

Image
[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] The typical summer slowdown in U.S. stock markets may be more pronounced this year with inflation jitters and an early presidential debate that have the potential to weigh on a rally that has pushed the S&P 500 near record highs in recent months. The S&P 500 is up nearly 12% this year on strong earnings and signs inflation may be falling enough for the Federal Reserve to cut benchmark interest rates, but that rally is unlikely to continue in the months ahead, investors said. Summer has historically been the slowest season for U.S. stocks. The benchmark S&P 500 has risen 56% of the time between June through August, according to data from CFRA Research dating back to 1945. Traders on vacation and investors waiting for fall corporate earnings before committing to next year's asset allocations are often cited as reasons for the summer doldrums. This summer brings extra headwinds, though, with ongoing uncertainty over the timi...