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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] The Indian market is expected to consolidate on Thursday, tracking subdued global cues. India VIX dropped over 5% on Wednesday to close at 17.18. The Nifty50’s inability to sustain higher levels signals the presence of strong sellers at elevated zones. “The 24,500–24,400 pocket, which also houses the short-term 10-day EMA, has now turned into a make-or-break patch. Until Nifty holds above this belt, the broader picture remains intact,” said Dhupesh Dhameja, Derivatives Research Analyst at SAMCO Securities. “However, the psychological wall at 25,000 still looms large and continues to block upside attempts,” he added. A breakout on either side of this narrow range could steer the next directional move. “As long as Nifty floats above 24,400, the primary structure stays intact. Dips continue to attract buying interest, making them rewarding opportunities. Immediate resistance is now capped around the 24,800–25,000 corridor,” Dhameja noted. Li...

[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Despite a modest rebound in global equities, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink has warned that the market rout may be far from over, with the potential for another 20% plunge if recession fears in the U.S. intensify. “Most CEOs I talk to would say we are probably in a recession right now,” Fink said Monday at the Economic Club of New York, according to Reuters. He blamed steep U.S. tariffs for driving up prices and adding to inflationary pressures, further dampening sentiment across markets. While global equities staged a recovery on Tuesday, Fink cautioned that the worst may not be over. “That doesn’t mean we can’t fall another 20% from here too,” he said. On Tuesday, U.S. S&P 500 futures rose 0.9% after the benchmark index ended a volatile Monday session with a 0.2% loss. Wall Street swung between steep losses and sharp gains as investors reacted to conflicting signals on trade. A report suggesting President Donald Trump was considering a 90...

[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Led by a confluence of cooling bond yields, a topping-out of the dollar index, and a rupee rally that saw its best weekly gain in 2 years, Sensex has rallied over 3,000 points in just 5 trading sessions with investor wealth ballooning by Rs 22 lakh crore as the market capitalization of BSE-listed stocks shot up to Rs 413 lakh crore. With a 4% surge, it was the best weekly gain for Sensex and Nifty in the last 4 years. Short covering helped the Sensex breach the 77,000 mark in intraday trades. Additionally, squaring off positions ahead of next week’s monthly F&O expiry also contributed to the sharp rally, analysts said. The rally was broad-based, with smallcap and midcap indices ending the week 8-9% higher. Foreign institutional investors (FIIs), once aggressive sellers, are now rushing back, turning net buyers in three of five sessions this week, including 2025’s highest buying of nearly Rs 7,500 crore on Friday. The shift comes as th...

[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] As history is known to rhyme, if not repeat, stock market investors are eyeing a well-established pattern: a pre-earnings rally, a correction during the results period, and a subsequent rebound. Historical data suggests that Nifty has seen an upswing in the three to four weeks before Q4 earnings 70% of the time with a clear 3%+ upside occurring in 30% of cases. However, the first 30 days of the earnings season have historically delivered flat returns with a negative bias. But what happens next? The data shows that in the past decade, Nifty has delivered an average return of 5.7% in the three months following Q4 results, with an 8%+ gain in half of the cases. The next 6 months are even brighter with an average 8.75% return. In the last 10 years, March month has been largely positive for the markets, apart from exceptions seen in 2015, when global concerns like China's Yuan devaluation and Brexit uncertainty led to volatility, and in 20...

[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] It's been a forgetful week for Indian investors as equity markets fell dramatically, erasing the gains of the last four weeks. The benchmark Sensex witnessed a sharp decline, marking a loss of nearly 5% for the week. Despite the overall weak sentiments, a few smallcaps stood out, 22 of them precisely, delivering double-digit returns to investors. Fairchem Organics was the top gainer in the smallcap pack with nearly 49% returns, followed by Tanfac Industries (28%), Vakrangee (18%), and Five-Star Business (18%). About 20 stocks, including Chaman Lal Steia, 63 Moons Technologies, Cosmo First, Hampton Sky, Yasho Industries, Newgen Software, have offered returns between 10-20% during the week. Also Read: D-Street carnage extends to 5th day as Sensex crashes 1,176 pts, Nifty drops below 23,600; investors lose Rs 10.15 lakh crore In the midcap segment, only General Insurance Corp rose in double digits, gaining about 17%. Oberoi Realty and Th...

[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Nifty and Sensex managed to sustain positive momentum for the fourth consecutive week by recording a weekly gain of 0.5% amid consolidation. "Currently, the market is anticipating a revival in consumer spending, driven by the festive season and year-end holidays, adding to the sentiments. Additionally, the expectation of an increase in US spending is propelling the IT sector," said Geojit's Vinod Nair. Traders are, however, cautious ahead of the US Federal Reserve policy meeting and domestic macroeconomic data releases this week. Here are all the key factors you need to track: 1) Fed meeting outcome Global markets will be eyeing the outcome of the US Fed meeting on 18 December, where a 25 basis point rate cut is already factored in. The Fed's commentary on future rate policy will hold significant importance.Also read | Rs 8 lakh crore boom takes smallcap stocks to new highs. Did you sell too soon? 2) Macro data Besides t...

[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] If the Q2 earnings season, the worst since June 2020, was not enough, stock market investors are now dealing with another headache after the Q2 GDP growth of 5.4% was at its lowest in the last seven quarters. With Sensex and Nifty already down 7-8% from their peaks amid record-breaking pullout by FIIs, brokerages are now lowering the India GDP targets which may eventually start reflecting on the equity market outlook as well. Goldman Sachs has lowered India's real GDP growth estimates for FY25 by 40 basis points to 6%, while Nomura has lowered it from 5.7% to 6%. UBS has also reduced its estimate of real GDP growth to 6.3%, while Citi has lowered it to 6.4% YoY vs 7% earlier. In the near term, analysts say that the Q2 GDP shocker of 4% will weigh on markets, but the impact is unlikely to be significant since part of the declining growth was factored in by the market after the disappointing Q2 results. "We do not see the case for ...