What India VIX's jump to 24 level means for the markets
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The India VIX has been the talk of the town as it jumped by over 91% in May 2024 ahead of India’s election results scheduled next week. Notably, this is the second-highest monthly jump since March 2020. Despite recognizing the importance of tracking the India VIX, many people struggle to understand what an India VIX value of 24 actually means. If the current India VIX reading is 24, it indicates that the Nifty 50 is expected to fluctuate within a 24% range, either up or down, over a year. To calculate the monthly range, divide the yearly range by the square root of 12 (the number of months in a year), which results in approximately 6.93%. This means the monthly range for the India VIX is 6.93% up or down. Similarly, we can calculate the expected weekly and daily fluctuation ranges for the Nifty 50. The below table shows the expected fluctuation range for the Nifty 50 when the India VIX is 24. Yearly Range 24.00% Monthly Range 6.93% Weekly...