Sensex, Nifty can fall up to 10% with bigger crash in smallcaps, warns Emkay
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"We see the risk of an imminent 5-10% correction in the headline indices, with bigger drawdowns in small and midcap stocks. Nifty valuations are stretched at 21.4x 1YF PER, and a positive budget is now in the price. There are no additional positive catalysts, as we expect a tepid 1QFY25 earnings season with rate cuts coming only at end-CY24," Seshadri Sen, Head Of Research, Emkay Global, said in a note to investors. He said a sell-off is likely to be led by Industrials (high valuations) and financials (most liquid), but durables like autos are vulnerable too. "The best places to hide are staples, energy, and technology, in that order. We remain constructive on India from a longer-term (>1 year) perspective, and would use a meaningful correction to increase exposure to the market," Sen said. In the Union Budget, which will be presented in the Parliament on Tuesday, Nirmala Sitharaman is widely expected to tread the p...