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Showing posts from February, 2026

Iran-Israel tensions likely to trigger choppy trade on Monday. What should investors do?

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Indian stock markets are expected to open gap down on Monday as Israel launched preemptive strikes on Iran on Saturday after the US and the West Asian nation failed to iron out their differences over the nuclear deal. President Donald Trump called it a "major combat operations in Iran" in a video release on social media after the strikes were launched near the offices of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. The global cues remain negative and are expected to weigh on markets, despite a positive surprise that came its way on Friday in the form of India's Q3 GDP numbers of 7.8%, reflecting broad-based strength in the economy. Kranthi Bathini, Director-Equity Strategy at WealthMills Securities said finally the inevitable happened after weeks of uncertainty. The Street was anticipating conflict blowing into war sooner or later, he said. Bathini sees a choppy trade on Monday, expecting sharp cuts that may stay over a near term....

Nifty tests support zone amid corrective market phase; cautious week seen ahead

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] The markets traded under sustained pressure through the week and ended on a distinctly negative note. After attempting a modest recovery early on, the Nifty faced persistent selling at higher levels and drifted lower as the week progressed. The index oscillated within a defined range of 25,771.45 on the higher side and 25,141.30 on the lower side. Volatility cooled off , with the India VIX declining 4.60% to 13.70 on a weekly basis. The Nifty closed the week with a net loss of 392.60 points (-1.54%). The broader technical structure remains corrective within a larger uptrend. On the weekly chart, Nifty continues to hover just above its 50-week moving average (25,047), while staying well above the 100-week (24,422) and 200-week (21,571) averages, preserving the long-term bullish structure. ETMarkets.com However, the index is trading below the 20- week average (25,756) and near the lower Bollinger Band (25,065), indicating shortterm weakness...

FIIs pour Rs 22,615 crore into Indian equities in February. Can Iran-Israel conflict flip the trend?

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Although Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) turned net buyers in February, picking up Indian equities worth Rs 22,615 crore during the month, Friday’s sharp sell-off has cast doubt on the sustainability of that trend reversal. With the Iran-Israel conflict escalating over the weekend, risk appetite could take a back seat, prompting foreign investors to adopt a wait-and-watch approach before committing fresh flows to emerging markets. The conflict in the Middle East has triggered a risk-off situation in financial markets. It remains to be seen how the conflict will evolve and impact crude and currency markets, Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist, Geojit Investments said, commenting on the crisis. In his view, FIIs are likely to wait and watch how things evolve before making further commitments in emerging markets. Echoing a similar sentiment, Nachiketa Sawrikar, Fund Manager at Artha Bharat Global Multiplier Fund said he ex...

Iran-Israel war, crude oil, FII flows among 9 factors that may steer markets this week

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Benchmark indices closed sharply lower on Friday amid broad-based selling, with auto, financials and FMCG stocks bearing the brunt. As domestic markets reopen on Monday, a packed calendar of global and domestic triggers is expected to shape investor sentiment. The 50-stock Nifty declined 317.90 points, or 1.25%, to settle at 25,178.65. Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities, said the index has fallen steeply after spending three sessions below its key short-term moving average. It has also slipped beneath the 200-day moving average (DMA), signalling continued weakness in the near term. “The RSI indicator has turned sharply bearish. In the short term, the index may remain under selling pressure, with any rally likely to face resistance. Immediate support is seen at 25,000 and 24,750 levels, while resistance is placed at 25,370,” De said. 1) Iran-Israel war By the time global markets open on Monday, the Iran-Israel conflict co...

Can AI beat a great investor? Here's what billionaire Howard Marks says

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Billionaire investor Howard Marks said that artificial intelligence possesses many qualities needed to be a good investor, but it misses a few things as great investors are much more than just fast, unemotional processors of data. This comes amid fears that the rapidly advancing technology holds the power to replace humans in different kinds of work. In his latest memo to clients, the co-founder and co-chairman of Oaktree Capital Management said that he receives a lot of questions on whether AI puts his job at risk. He highlighted that Anthropic’s coding-model business has been growing at warp speed for a year or two. “So why didn’t investors recognize and price in AI’s potential to impact the software industry prior to February 3, a day when many software stocks declined 7% or so, kicking off a serious rout?” he asked. This question highlights the recurring failure by humans to incorporate new information into their thinking, Marks said,...

Titan Company shines, Britannia Industries steadies: consumer stocks back in play

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] India’s consumer sector is showing early signs of recovery, with demand trends improving gradually across most categories in 3QFY26. Aggregate sector performance remained healthy, with revenue and EBITDA growth of 17% and 15% year-on-year, respectively, supported by a low base and improving consumption sentiment. Even on a normalized basis (excluding high-growth discretionary segments), underlying growth trends indicate a steady, albeit uneven, recovery. Consumption trends strengthened sequentially through the quarter after temporary disruptions in October due to GST-related channel adjustments. Food categories outperformed personal care, aided by favorable tax changes and resilient demand, while staples continued to demonstrate stability. Discretionary segments showed mixed trends—jewelry witnessed strong growth despite elevated gold prices, supported by festive demand, whereas segments like innerwear and quick service restaurants (QSR) ...

New era of trade volatility: What the court’s decision and Trump’s tariff pivot mean for commodities

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] The recent U.S. Supreme Court ruling striking down President Donald Trump’s broad tariff measures has reshaped the global trade landscape, bringing both clarity and fresh uncertainty. The U.S. Supreme Court ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not give authority to the president to impose sweeping import tariffs, effectively blocking one of Trump’s key trade tools. However, within a day of the verdict, Trump signalled that he would continue pursuing new tariffs. He invoked a temporary global tariff—first 10%, then raised to 15%, the maximum allowed under the US trade law. Global response The Supreme Court’s decision to strike down Trump’s earlier tariff framework prompted varied global reactions. The European Commission immediately rejected any increase in tariffs and said that existing agreements must be honoured. India postponed a planned trade visit to Washington to reassess the implications of the ru...

Shipping Corporation fined: NSE, BSE impose Rs 5.42 lakh penalty each for Sebi norm violation

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Leading stock exchanges BSE and NSE have slapped a fine of Rs 5.42 lakh each on state-run Shipping Corporation of India (SCI) for non-compliance with the Securities and Exchange Board of India's (Sebi's) listing regulations. The Navratna PSU informed about the development via a filing to the exchanges on Saturday. It said that the action will not have any significant impact on the company's financial, operational, or other activities. On Friday, February 27, 2026, the company received an email from BSE and a notice from the National Stock Exchange levying a total fine of Rs 5,42,800, each for non-compliance with Regulation 17(1) of Sebi Listing Regulations regarding the composition of the Board of Directors. Shares of Shipping Corporation ended 1.8% lower on the NSE at Rs 263.47. SCI operates oil tankers and product carriers that move crude oil from overseas suppliers to Indian refineries, making it strategically important for...

L&T Finance, Utkarsh SFB, Fusion Finance tank up to 11% as Bihar passes MFI Bill 2026. Here’s what’s causing pain

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Shares of Utkarsh Small Finance Bank, L&T Finance, and Fusion Finance tumbled up to 11% on Friday after the Bihar Assembly cleared the MFI Bill 2026, seeking to tighten oversight of microfinance institutions and rein in coercive recovery practices. Fusion Finance was the worst hit, falling 11% to its day’s low of Rs 181 on the BSE. L&T Finance and Utkarsh Small Finance Bank shares slipped 5% each to their day’s lows of Rs 286 and Rs 14.10, respectively. The Bihar Micro Finance Institutions (Regulation of Money Lending and Prevention of Coercive Actions) Bill, 2026 mandates that lenders obtain prior approval from the state Finance Department before disbursing loans, prevents lending at exorbitantly high rates with total interest capped at 100% of principal, and also caps lender exposure at two MFIs per borrower. It also requires microfinance companies to register with the state government, even if they are already licensed by the R...

Global funds make $2.1 billion comeback on D-Street as earnings outlook improves

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Foreign investors are returning to Indian stocks at the fastest pace in eight months, supported by stabilizing corporate earnings and a US trade deal that improves the outlook for the months ahead. Global funds have bought nearly $2.1 billion of local shares so far in February, putting inflows on track for the strongest since June. The rebound follows last year’s record exodus, when investors shifted exposure to artificial intelligence-driven markets such as the US, China and South Korea. The rebound in inflows suggests some of the pressures that had been weighing on Indian equities are starting to ease. A long-awaited trade deal with the US earlier this month removed a key source of uncertainty for the $5.2 trillion market. Improving corporate results are also reviving the case for a rotation into Indian stocks, which have trailed most Asian and emerging market peers since early 2025. “We are seeing a positive momentum toward Indian equi...

Rs 5 lakh crore wiped out! Sensex tumbles 961 points, Nifty below 25,200. 4 key factors why stock market fell today

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Indian stock markets declined sharply to close at near one-month low levels on Friday, with Sensex falling nearly 1,000 points and Nifty closing below the 25,200 mark. The selloff wiped off more than Rs 5 lakh crore in investors’ wealth, dragging down the total market capitalisation of all BSE-listed firms to around Rs 463 lakh crore. The Indian benchmark indices today extended losses for the second consecutive session, led by decline in realty, financial, auto and FMCG shares due to multiple factors. Sensex declined more than 961 points to 81,287, while Nifty 50 fell around 318 points to 25,179. Notably, today marks the first time since February 2 when Sensex closed below the 82,000 mark and Nifty 50 closed below the Rs 25,200 mark. Bharti Airtel, Bajaj Finserv, Mahindra & Mahindra and IndiGo were among the top losers on Sensex, while IT stocks Infosys and HCL Tech, along with Trent and Eternal were the only gainers. Notably, the IT ...

Chris Wood picks IndiGo, Adani Power in India portfolio reshuffle

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Top emerging markets investor Christopher Wood has added Adani Power and InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo) to his India long-only portfolio while exiting Home First Finance and Le Travenues Technology (Ixigo), marking a notable reshuffle in Jefferies’ flagship GREED & fear India basket. Jefferies’ global head of equity strategy wrote in his latest GREED & fear note that the investment in Home First Finance will be removed and replaced by an investment in Adani Power. In the travel space, he added that the investment in Le Travenues Technology (Ixigo) will also be removed and replaced by an investment in InterGlobe Aviation (IndiGo), while the investment in Lemon Tree Hotels will be replaced by an investment in Indian Hotels. The rejig comes against the backdrop of a sharp relative underperformance of Indian equities versus emerging-market peers, even as the domestic market has largely moved sideways in local-currency terms. Wood pointe...

Did Angel One shares really crash 90%? Here's why you should ignore the massive plunge

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] The shares of Angel One appeared to have plunged 90% in a single session on Thursday, but in reality, they adjusted to their 1:10 stock split on the record date. The company's shares opened at Rs 251 apiece today, after closing at Rs 2,489.90 yesterday. The stock actually fell around 1% to trade at Rs 246.90 apiece, as seen at 9.40 am. Angel One stock split While announcing its October–December quarter (Q3 FY26) results on January 15, Angel One had announced its first-ever stock split in the ratio of 1:10. The board approved the proposal to split each existing equity share of the company with a face value of Rs 10 into 10 equity shares with a face value of Re 1 each. Earlier this month, Angel One fixed February 26 (today) as the record date to determine the eligibility of shareholders for the stock split. What does this mean for shareholders? If a shareholder owns one share worth Rs 100, a 1:10 stock split would convert it into 10 sha...

Nykaa shares' 64% rally crowns it as internet leader, but do rich valuations justify the risk-reward?

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[hfe_template id='11223'] [ad_1] Shares of FSN E-Commerce Ventures have staged a sharp comeback, rallying 64% over the past year to emerge as the top performer in the internet space amid signs of an operational turnaround. However, the valuations of Nykaa’s parent company raise concerns about whether the current price offers a favourable risk-to-reward proposition and if the stock has sufficient headroom for further upside. Nykaa's high double-digit returns have come at a time when markets have struggled due to external factors like US tariffs, geopolitical tensions, and the Fed's interest rate status quo against the expectations of a rate cut. Among the internal factors, weak domestic earnings and premium valuations have weighed on markets. Sunny Agrawal, Head, Retail Fundamental Desk at SBI Securities, decodes the new-found enthusiasm for FSN E-Commerce shares among the investors. According to him, Nykaa has been delivering robust growth in operating profit for...